to tune hyperparamters of deep studying fashions (Keras Sequential model), compared with a conventional method — Grid Search.
Bayesian Optimization
Bayesian Optimization is a sequential design technique for world optimization of black-box capabilities.
It’s significantly well-suited for capabilities which can be costly to guage, lack an analytical type, or have unknown derivatives.
Within the context of hyperparameter optimization, the unknown perform might be:
- an goal perform,
- accuracy worth for a coaching or validation set,
- loss worth for a coaching or validation set,
- entropy gained or misplaced,
- AUC for ROC curves,
- A/B take a look at outcomes,
- computation value per epoch,
- mannequin dimension,
- reward quantity for reinforcement studying, and extra.
Not like conventional optimization strategies that depend on direct perform evaluations, Bayesian Optimization builds and refines a probabilistic mannequin of the target perform, utilizing this mannequin to intelligently choose the following analysis level.
The core thought revolves round two key elements:
1. Surrogate Mannequin (Probabilistic Mannequin)
The mannequin approximates the unknown goal perform (f(x)) to a surrogate mannequin akin to Gaussian Course of (GP).
A GP is a non-parametric Bayesian mannequin that defines a distribution over capabilities. It present:
- a prediction of the perform worth at a given level μ(x) and
- a measure of uncertainty round that prediction σ(x), usually represented as a confidence interval.
Mathematically, for a Gaussian Course of, the predictions at an unobserved level (x∗), given noticed knowledge (X, y), are usually distributed:

the place
- μ(x∗): the imply prediction and
- σ²(x∗): the predictive variance.
2. Acquisition Perform
The acquisition perform determines a subsequent level (x_t+1) to guage by quantifying how “promising” a candidate level is for bettering the target perform, by balancing:
- Exploration (Excessive Variance): Sampling in areas with excessive uncertainty to find new promising areas and
- Exploitation (Excessive Imply): Sampling in areas the place the surrogate mannequin predicts excessive goal values.
Frequent acquisition capabilities embody:
Chance of Enchancment (PI)
PI selects the purpose that has the best likelihood of bettering upon the present finest noticed worth (f(x+)):

the place
- Φ: the cumulative distribution perform (CDF) of the usual regular distribution, and
- ξ≥0 is a trade-off parameter (exploration vs. exploitation).
ξ controls a trade-off between exploration and exploitation, and a bigger ξ encourages extra exploration.
Anticipated Enchancment (EI)
Quantifies the anticipated quantity of enchancment over the present finest noticed worth:

Assuming a Gaussian Course of surrogate, the analytical type of EI is outlined:

the place ϕ is the likelihood density perform (PDF) of the usual regular distribution.
EI is among the most generally used acquisition capabilities. EI additionally considers the magnitude of the advance in contrast to PI.
Higher Confidence Certain (UCB)
UCB balances exploitation (excessive imply) and exploration (excessive variance), specializing in factors which have each a excessive predicted imply and excessive uncertainty:

κ≥0 is a tuning parameter that controls the steadiness between exploration and exploitation.
A bigger κ places extra emphasis on exploring unsure areas.
Bayesian Optimization Technique (Iterative Course of)
Bayesian Optimization iteratively updates the surrogate mannequin and optimizes the acquisition perform.
It guides the search in the direction of optimum areas whereas minimizing the variety of costly goal perform evaluations.
Now, allow us to see the method with code snippets utilizing KerasTuner
for a fraud detection activity (binary classification the place y=1 (fraud) prices us essentially the most.)
Step 1. Initialization
Initializes the method by sampling the hyperparameter house randomly or low-discrepancy sequencing (ususally choosing up 5 to 10 factors) to get an thought of the target perform.
These preliminary observations are used to construct the primary model of the surrogate mannequin.
As we construct Keras Sequential mannequin, we first outline and compile the mannequin, then outline theBayesianOptimization
tuner with the variety of preliminary factors to evaluate.
import keras_tuner as kt
import tensorflow as tf
from tensorflow import keras
from keras.fashions import Sequential
from keras.layers import Dense, Dropout, Enter
# initialize a Keras Sequential mannequin
mannequin = Sequential([
Input(shape=(self.input_shape,)),
Dense(
units=hp.Int(
'neurons1', min_value=20, max_value=60, step=10),
activation='relu'
),
Dropout(
hp.Float(
'dropout_rate1', min_value=0.0, max_value=0.5, step=0.1
)),
Dense(
units=hp.Int(
'neurons2', min_value=20, max_value=60, step=10),
activation='relu'
),
Dropout(
hp.Float(
'dropout_rate2', min_value=0.0, max_value=0.5, step=0.1
)),
Dense(
1, activation='sigmoid',
bias_initializer=keras.initializers.Constant(
self.initial_bias_value
)
)
])
# compile the mannequin
mannequin.compile(
optimizer=optimizer,
loss='binary_crossentropy',
metrics=[
'accuracy',
keras.metrics.Precision(name='precision'),
keras.metrics.Recall(name='recall'),
keras.metrics.AUC(name='auc')
]
)
# outline a tuner with the intial factors
tuner = kt.BayesianOptimization(
hypermodel=custom_hypermodel,
goal=kt.Goal("val_recall", path="max"),
max_trials=max_trials,
executions_per_trial=executions_per_trial,
listing=listing,
project_name=project_name,
num_initial_points=num_initial_points,
overwrite=True,
)
num_initial_points
defines what number of preliminary, randomly chosen hyperparameter configurations must be evaluated earlier than the algorithm begins to information the search.
If not given, KerasTuner takes a default worth: 3 * dimensions of the hyperparameter house.
Step 2. Surrogate Mannequin Coaching
Construct and prepare the probabilistic mannequin (surrogate mannequin, usually a Gaussian Course of or a Tree-structured Parzen Estimator for Bayesian Optimization) utilizing all out there noticed datas factors (enter values and their corresponding output values) to approximate the true perform.
The surrogate mannequin gives the imply prediction (μ(x)) (almost definitely from the Gaussian course of) and uncertainty (σ(x)) for any unobserved level.
KerasTuner makes use of an inside surrogate mannequin to mannequin the connection between hyperparameters and the target perform’s efficiency.
After every goal perform analysis by way of prepare run, the noticed knowledge factors (hyperparameters and validation metrics) are used to replace the interior surrogate mannequin.
Step 3. Acquisition Perform Optimization
Use an optimization algorithm (usually an inexpensive, native optimizer like L-BFGS and even random search) to search out the following level (x_t+1) that maximizes the chosen acquisition perform.
This step is essential as a result of it identifies essentially the most promising subsequent candidate for analysis by balancing exploration (making an attempt new, unsure areas of the hyperparameter house) and exploitation (refining promising areas).
KerasTuner makes use of an optimization technique akin to Anticipated Enchancment or Higher Confidence Certain to search out the following set of hyperparameters.
Step 4. Goal Perform Analysis
Consider the true, costly goal perform (f(x)) on the new candidate level (x_t+1).
The Keras mannequin is skilled utilizing the offered coaching datasets and evaluated on the validation knowledge. We set val_recall
as the results of this analysis.
def match(self, hp, mannequin=None, *args, **kwargs):
mannequin = self.construct(hp=hp) if not mannequin else mannequin
batch_size = hp.Selection('batch_size', values=[16, 32, 64])
epochs = hp.Int('epochs', min_value=50, max_value=200, step=50)
return mannequin.match(
batch_size=batch_size,
epochs=epochs,
class_weight=self.class_weights_dict,
*args,
**kwargs
)
Step 5. Knowledge Replace
Add the newly noticed knowledge level (x_(t+1), f(x_(t+1))) to the set of observations.
Step 6. Iteration
Repeat Step 2 — 5 till a stopping criterion is met.
Technically, the tuner.search()
methodology orchestrates the whole Bayesian optimization course of from Step 2 to five:
tuner.search(
X_train, y_train,
validation_data=(X_val, y_val),
callbacks=[early_stopping_callback]
)
best_hp = tuner.get_best_hyperparameters(num_trials=1)[0]
best_keras_model_from_tuner = tuner.get_best_models(num_models=1)[0]
The tactic repeatedly performs these steps till the max_trials
restrict is reached or different inside stopping standards akin to early_stopping_callback
are met.
Right here, we set recall
as our key metrics to penalize the misclassification as False Optimistic prices us essentially the most within the fraud detection case.
Study Extra: KerasTuner Supply Code
Outcomes
The Bayesian Optimization course of aimed to boost the mannequin’s efficiency, primarily by maximizing recall.
The tuning efforts yielded a trade-off throughout key metrics, leading to a mannequin with considerably improved recall on the expense of some precision and general accuracy in comparison with the preliminary state:
- Recall: 0.9055 (0.6595 -> 0.6450) — 0.8400
- Precision: 0.6831 (0.8338 -> 0.8113) — 0.6747
- Accuracy: 0.7427 (0.7640 -> 0.7475) — 0.7175
(From growth (coaching / validation mixed) to check part)

Greatest performing hyperparameter set:
- neurons1: 40
- dropout_rate1: 0.0
- neurons2: 20,
- dropout_rate2: 0.4
- optimizer_name: lion,
- learning_rate: 0.004019639999963362
- batch_size: 64
- epochs: 200
- beta_1_lion: 0.9
- beta_2_lion: 0.99
Optimum Neural Community Abstract:

Key Efficiency Metrics:
- Recall: The mannequin demonstrated a big enchancment in recall, rising from an preliminary worth of roughly 0.66 (or 0.645) to 0.8400. This means the optimized mannequin is notably higher at figuring out constructive instances.
- Precision: Concurrently, precision skilled a lower. Ranging from round 0.83 (or 0.81), it settled at 0.6747 post-optimization. This means that whereas extra constructive instances are being recognized, a better proportion of these identifications is likely to be false positives.
- Accuracy: The general accuracy of the mannequin additionally noticed a decline, transferring from an preliminary 0.7640 (or 0.7475) all the way down to 0.7175. That is in step with the noticed trade-off between recall and precision, the place optimizing for one usually impacts the others.
Evaluating with Grid Search
We tuned a Keras Sequential mannequin with Grid Search on Adam optimizer for comparability:
import tensorflow as tf
from tensorflow import keras
from keras.fashions import Sequential
from keras.layers import Dense, Dropout, Enter
from sklearn.model_selection import GridSearchCV
from scikeras.wrappers import KerasClassifier
param_grid = {
'model__learning_rate': [0.001, 0.0005, 0.0001],
'model__neurons1': [20, 30, 40],
'model__neurons2': [20, 30, 40],
'model__dropout_rate1': [0.1, 0.15, 0.2],
'model__dropout_rate2': [0.1, 0.15, 0.2],
'batch_size': [16, 32, 64],
'epochs': [50, 100],
}
input_shape = X_train.form[1]
initial_bias = np.log([np.sum(y_train == 1) / np.sum(y_train == 0)])
class_weights = class_weight.compute_class_weight(
class_weight='balanced',
lessons=np.distinctive(y_train),
y=y_train
)
class_weights_dict = dict(zip(np.distinctive(y_train), class_weights))
keras_classifier = KerasClassifier(
mannequin=create_model,
model__input_shape=input_shape,
model__initial_bias_value=initial_bias,
loss='binary_crossentropy',
metrics=[
'accuracy',
keras.metrics.Precision(name='precision'),
keras.metrics.Recall(name='recall'),
keras.metrics.AUC(name='auc')
]
)
grid_search = GridSearchCV(
estimator=keras_classifier,
param_grid=param_grid,
scoring='recall',
cv=3,
n_jobs=-1,
error_score='elevate'
)
grid_result = grid_search.match(
X_train, y_train,
validation_data=(X_val, y_val),
callbacks=[early_stopping_callback],
class_weight=class_weights_dict
)
optimal_params = grid_result.best_params_
best_keras_classifier = grid_result.best_estimator_
Outcomes
Grid Search tuning resulted in a mannequin with robust precision and good general accuracy, although with a decrease recall in comparison with the Bayesian Optimization method:
- Recall: 0.8214(0.7735 -> 0.7150)— 0.7100
- Precision: 0.7884 (0.8331 -> 0.8034) — 0.8304
- Accuracy:0.8005 (0.8092 -> 0.7700) — 0.7825
Greatest performing hyperparameter set:
- neurons1: 40
- dropout_rate1: 0.15
- neurons2: 40
- dropout_rate2: 0.1
- learning_rate: 0.001
- batch_size: 16
- epochs: 100
Optimum Neural Community Abstract:




Grid Search Efficiency:
- Recall: Achieved a recall of 0.7100, a slight lower from its preliminary vary (0.7735–0.7150).
- Precision: Confirmed sturdy efficiency at 0.8304, an enchancment over its preliminary vary (0.8331–0.8034).
- Accuracy: Settled at 0.7825, sustaining a strong general predictive functionality, barely decrease than its preliminary vary (0.8092–0.7700).
Comparability with Bayesian Optimization:
- Recall: Bayesian Optimization (0.8400) considerably outperformed Grid Search (0.7100) in figuring out constructive instances.
- Precision: Grid Search (0.8304) achieved a lot greater precision than Bayesian Optimization (0.6747), indicating fewer false positives.
- Accuracy: Grid Search’s accuracy (0.7825) was notably greater than Bayesian Optimization’s (0.7175).
Common Comparability with Grid Search
1. Approaching the Search Area
Bayesian Optimization
- Clever/Adaptive: Bayesian Optimization builds a probabilistic mannequin (usually a Gaussian Course of) of the target perform (e.g., mannequin efficiency as a perform of hyperparameters). It makes use of this mannequin to foretell which hyperparameter combos are almost definitely to yield higher outcomes.
- Knowledgeable: It learns from earlier evaluations. After every trial, the probabilistic mannequin is up to date, guiding the search in the direction of extra promising areas of the hyperparameter house. This enables it to make “clever” selections about the place to pattern subsequent, balancing exploration (making an attempt new, unknown areas) and exploitation (specializing in areas which have proven good outcomes).
- Sequential: It usually operates sequentially, evaluating one level at a time and updating its mannequin earlier than deciding on the following.
Grid Search:
- Exhaustive/Brute-force: Grid Search systematically tries each potential mixture of hyperparameter values from a pre-defined set of values for every hyperparameter. You specify a “grid” of values, and it evaluates each level on that grid.
- Uninformed: It doesn’t use the outcomes of earlier evaluations to tell the number of the following set of hyperparameters to attempt. Every mixture is evaluated independently.
- Deterministic: Given the identical grid, it is going to at all times discover the identical combos in the identical order.
2. Computational Value
Bayesian Optimization
- Extra Environment friendly: Designed to search out optimum hyperparameters with considerably fewer evaluations in comparison with Grid Search. This makes it significantly efficient when evaluating the target perform (e.g., coaching a Machine Studying mannequin) is computationally costly or time-consuming.
- Scalability: Usually scales higher to higher-dimensional hyperparameter areas than Grid Search, although it may well nonetheless be computationally intensive for very excessive dimensions because of the overhead of sustaining and updating the probabilistic mannequin.
Grid Search
- Computationally Costly: Because the variety of hyperparameters and the vary of values for every hyperparameter improve, the variety of combos grows exponentially. This results in very future occasions and excessive computational value, making it impractical for giant search areas. That is sometimes called the “curse of dimensionality.”
- Scalability: Doesn’t scale properly with high-dimensional hyperparameter areas.
3. Ensures and Exploration
Bayesian Optimization
- Probabilistic assure: It goals to search out the worldwide optimum effectively, but it surely does not supply a tough assure like Grid Seek for discovering the very best inside a discrete set. As an alternative, it converges probabilistically in the direction of the optimum.
- Smarter exploration: Its steadiness of exploration and exploitation helps it keep away from getting caught in native optima and uncover optimum values extra successfully.
Grid Search
- Assured to search out finest in grid: If the optimum hyperparameters are throughout the outlined grid, Grid Search is assured to search out them as a result of it tries each mixture.
- Restricted exploration: It might probably miss optimum values in the event that they fall between the discrete factors outlined within the grid.
4. When to Use Which
Bayesian Optimization:
- Giant, high-dimensional hyperparameter areas: When evaluating fashions is pricey and you’ve got many hyperparameters to tune.
- When effectivity is paramount: To seek out good hyperparameters rapidly, particularly in conditions with restricted computational assets or time.
- Black-box optimization issues: When the target perform is complicated, non-linear, and doesn’t have a recognized analytical type.
Grid Search
- Small, low-dimensional hyperparameter areas: When you’ve gotten only some hyperparameters and a restricted variety of values for every, Grid Search is usually a easy and efficient selection.
- When exhaustiveness is vital: In case you completely have to discover each single outlined mixture.
Conclusion
The experiment successfully demonstrated the distinct strengths of Bayesian Optimization and Grid Search in hyperparameter tuning.
Bayesian Optimization, by design, proved extremely efficient at intelligently navigating the search house and prioritizing a particular goal, on this case, maximizing recall.
It efficiently achieved a better recall charge (0.8400) in comparison with Grid Search, indicating its skill to search out extra constructive situations.
This functionality comes with an inherent trade-off, resulting in diminished precision and general accuracy.
Such an consequence is very useful in functions the place minimizing false negatives is vital (e.g., medical prognosis, fraud detection).
Its effectivity, stemming from probabilistic modeling that guides the search in the direction of promising areas, makes it a most popular methodology for optimizing pricey experiments or simulations the place every analysis is pricey.
In distinction, Grid Search, whereas exhaustive, yielded a extra balanced mannequin with superior precision (0.8304) and general accuracy (0.7825).
This means Grid Search was extra conservative in its predictions, leading to fewer false positives.
In abstract, whereas Grid Search affords an easy and exhaustive method, Bayesian Optimization stands out as a extra subtle and environment friendly methodology able to find superior outcomes with fewer evaluations, significantly when optimizing for a particular, usually complicated, goal like maximizing recall in a high-dimensional house.
The optimum selection of tuning methodology finally depends upon the precise efficiency priorities and useful resource constraints of the applying.
Writer: Kuriko IWAI
Portfolio / LinkedIn / Github
Could 26, 2025
All photos, until in any other case famous, are by the creator.
The article makes use of artificial knowledge, licensed below Apache 2.0 for business use.